Mini Poll: Margin of Error

Have you ever gotten a telephone call at home from a pollster or survey researcher?


Yes:
 91%
No:
 9%

 


Have you ever agreed to be polled?


Yes:
 78%
No:
 16%
I have never received such a call:
 6%

 


Was the most recent phone poll you received about a political candidate or issue, or for a consumer product/commercial service?


Political candidate/issue:
 74%
Product/service:
 18%
I have never been polled by phone:
 8%

 


Have you answered a poll recently about your views on Mayor Slay’s plan to reform the St. Louis Fireman’s Retirement Fund?


Yes:
 3%
No:
 97%

 


What is the longest you have ever remained on the phone answering a poll or survey?


A few minutes at most:
 24%
About ten minutes:
 35%
About twenty minutes:
 20%
About a half hour, or longer:
 7%
I have never participated in a telephone survey:
 14%

 


Which of the following ways of contact is most likely to convince you to participate in a survey?


Automated telephone call:
 1%
Live telephone call:
 27%
Door-to-door:
 8%
In-person solicitation in a public place:
 6%
Internet:
 43%
Mail-in:
 16%

 


Do you think most people generally tell the truth to political pollsters?


Yes:
 75%
No:
 25%

 


How about you? Would you most likely tell the truth to a political pollster?


Yes, to the best of my ability:
 58%
Yes, more or less:
 15%
Yes, to the substantive questions, but I might fudge on some of the personal questions like my income and age:
 13%
No:
 14%

 


Many political polls now show Barack Obama and Jay Nixon winning their respective elections for US President and Missouri Governor. How much faith do you have these polls are accurate right now?


The polls are right about both of them:
 37%
The polls are rigt about at least one of them:
 39%
The polls are wrong about both of them:
 24%

 


How often do you check the source and methodology of the different polls you read or hear about?


All the time:
 19%
Sometimes:
 46%
Never:
 35%

 


Which of the following sources of political polls do you think are generally the most likely to be the most accurate?


Polls conducted by the mainstream news media:
 20%
Polls condcted by the candidates/campaigns themselves:
 6%
Polls conducted by universities:
 49%
Polls conducted by third-party groups interested in various campaign issues:
 25%

 


Which of the following reasons would give you the biggest reason to doubt the accuracy of this year's political polls?


A lot of people with cell phones are not being polled:
 42%
A lot of newly registered people are not being polled:
 6%
A lot of people lie to pollsters when race and gender are issues:
 29%
I have no real reason to doubt political polls this year:
 23%

 


How often do you forward the weekly MayorSlay.com poll to your friends (or enemies)?


Always:
 1%
Sometimes:
 10%
Occasionally:
 20%
Never:
 47%
I haven't thought of it before, but I might do so in the future:
 22%

 


Have you seen any TV ads about reforms being considered for the St. Louis Fireman Retirement Fund?


Yes, ads by the firefighters union:
 5%
Yes, ads by Mayor Slay:
 29%
Yes, ads by both the firefighters union and by Mayor Slay:
 28%
No:
 38%

 


Note: Due to rounding, results for some questions may not total 100%.